Tag: Europe

  • Europe is ‘miles behind’ in race for raw materials used in electric car batteries

    Europe is ‘miles behind’ in race for raw materials used in electric car batteries

    European carmakers have secured less than a sixth of the key raw materials they will need by 2030 to make electric vehicle batteries, according to analysis that highlights the expected scramble for green-tech resources.

    Carmakers have secured contracts for 16% of the lithium, cobalt and nickel required to hit their 2030 electric car sales targets, according to public disclosures analysed by Transport & Environment (T&E), a Brussels-based campaign group.

    The world’s two biggest electric carmakers, Tesla in the US and China’s BYD, were significantly further ahead of many of their European rivals in securing access to key raw materials, the researchers found.

    Batteries used in devices ranging from mobile phones to cars are made of precisely controlled combinations of metals. There is a global race to find enough lithium, the lightest metal, but cobalt and nickel are also important in many batteries.

    The analysis suggested carmakers had disclosed agreements that would cover only 14% of the lithium, 17% of the nickel and 10% of the cobalt needed to meet their targets for 2030. The EU and UK will ban the sale of new fossil fuel cars in 2035.

    Julia Poliscanova, the senior director for vehicles and emobility at T&E, said: “There is a clear disconnect between carmakers’ electric vehicle [EV] goals and their critical mineral strategies. Tesla and BYD are way ahead of most European players, who are only waking up to the challenge of securing battery metals now.”

    T&E said Mercedes-Benz, BMW and Hyundai/Kia were the carmakers with large European operations that were lagging furthest behind rivals. Ford, Volkswagen and Stellantis have disclosed plans for battery mineral supply that rival Tesla and BYD.

    Some of the carmakers may have secret deals with mining or refining companies to supply enough minerals, while some are looking at ways of reducing or eliminating the use of expensive cobalt and nickel. Nevertheless, the scale of the undersupply detailed in publicly disclosed contracts suggested carmakers would have to battle to hit their electric targets.

    The analysis tallies with forecasts from the data company Benchmark Mineral Intelligence that demand for some key materials will significantly outstrip supply in the coming decade.

    Benchmark predicts that lithium demand will quadruple by 2030 as China, Europe and then the US move rapidly away from petrol and diesel. However, its forecasts suggest there will be a lithium shortfall of 390,000 tonnes in 2030, compared with global production of 2.7m tonnes. It also predicts shortfalls of cobalt and nickel – part of what it describes as a “great raw materials disconnect” that could limit the pace of the transition away from petrol and diesel cars.

    Caspar Rawles, Benchmark’s chief data officer, said: “In the medium and even the long term, lithium is probably going to be the limiting factor on the rate that the battery industry can scale.”

    Big mining projects usuallytook at least five years to start producing material at scale, and as long as seven years if fundraising was required, Rawles said. That would mean investment decisions would need to be made in the next year or two to increase supply by 2030.

    Poliscanova said it was supply chain strategies that would “make or break the EV transition in Europe, and render some companies obsolete”. However, she added that European manufacturers were ahead of rivals from China and the US in “cleaning up supply chains”. Some mineral suppliers have previously been found to have used child labour, exploited low-paid workers or used environmentally damaging methods.

     

  • Portuguese prime minister resigns amid lithium corruption allegations

    Portuguese prime minister resigns amid lithium corruption allegations

    Portuguese Prime Minister Antonio Costa has resigned amid investigations into possible crimes of corruption in government relating to lithium and hydrogen projects. Prosecutors have detained his chief of staff as part of the investigation.

    Costa announced his resignation on television, stating: “Today I was surprised by the information, officially confirmed by the public prosecutor’s office, that a criminal process has already been or will be initiated against me. Obviously, I am fully available to collaborate with the justice system in whatever is necessary to uncover the truth. However, it is my understanding that the dignity of the function of prime minister is not compatible with the suspicion of any criminal act, which is why I obviously presented my resignation.”

    The outgoing prime minister added that he has a “clear conscience” and will not run for the fourth time in the early elections that the Portuguese president will likely call.

    President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa must now decide whether to allow Costa’s Socialists to form a new government with their majority in parliament or to dissolve parliament and call an election.

    Prosecutors are currently investigating alleged graft and influence peddling in the Barroso and Montalegre lithium mine concessions in northern Portugal and a project for a hydrogen plant in Sines port. On Tuesday, five people were detained as part of the investigation.

    The prosecutor’s office said: “At stake may be… facts capable of constituting crimes of malfeasance, active and passive corruption of politicians and influence peddling.

  • Fierce community opposition to copper, lithium projects threatens energy transition

    Fierce community opposition to copper, lithium projects threatens energy transition

    While nothing new, resource nationalism has ignited high-profile disputes in recent weeks, with First Quantum’s struggles in Panama and lithium miners’ in Portugal the two most radical examples.

    Panama’s ratification of a deal with the Canadian miner allowing it to operate its flagship Cobre Panama copper mine for the next 20 years, triggered violent protests that brought Panama’s capital city almost to a halt. It also scared away investors, forced authorities into a chaotic retreat, wiped out about $6.5 billion of value for shareholders of the company, and led to a nationwide ban on new mines.

    Throughout the controversy, and as the market waits to see if the Supreme Court will kill the agreement, the mine has continued to operate.

    Portuguese anti-mining groups are asking the government to halt and reassess all lithium projects, following allegations of corruption that led Prime Minister Antonio Costa to resign on Tuesday.

    Costa handed in his notice just hours after prosecutors detained his chief of staff in a probe into alleged corruption in his administration’s handling of lithium mine concessions near Portugal’s northern border with Spain. The investigation is also looking into permits granted for a green hydrogen plant and data centre in the town of Sines, about 100km south of Lisbon.

    Portuguese Environment agency APA earlier this year gave environmental approvals for local company Lusorecursos to extract battery-grade lithium and for Savannah Resources to develop four open-pit mines. Both projects are in northern Portugal.

    Savanna, which has hired investment bank Barclays and financial consultancy Barrenjoey to find partners for its Barroso lithium project, said it was cooperating with the authorities. It noted, however, that neither the company nor anyone one of its staff is a target of the investigation.

    Lusorecursos, which plans to start construction in the northern Montalegre in early 2025 and kick off lithium production in late 2027, did not reply to a request for comment.

    The challenges faced by miners in Panama and Portugal, two relatively investor-friendly nations, provide a cautionary tale for foreign investors on the vulnerability of mining projects to public hostility and resource nationalism.

    The developments come only five months after Chile announced a new public-private model for its lithium industry, which will see the state having a majority interest in all new contracts.

    They also cast doubt on plans to invest billions of dollars in the decades to extract copper, lithium and other critical minerals needed for the world to transition away from fossil fuels.

  • Finland may be site of Anglo’s next greenfield mining project

    Finland may be site of Anglo’s next greenfield mining project

    Sakatti, with its metal concentrations of platinum group metals (PGMs), copper, nickel, cobalt, and others, may be the site of the next greenfield project of diversified Johannesburg- and London-listed mining company Anglo American. Located in central Lapland in Finland, Sakatti’s polymetallic orebody is aligned to the critical minerals priorities of Finland and the European Union (EU). (Also watch attached Creamer Media video.)

    Sakatti is set to be a remotely operated, low-carbon underground mine with an electric mining fleet.

    No reference was made to whether or not that electric mining fleet will be of the battery electric vehicle variety, generally used in underground environments, or the Anglo-developed green hydrogen electrified kind, which is being advanced at the opencast Mogalakwena PGMs operation in South Africa.

    But already stated is that it will use technology and mining methods that create zero waste and enable high degrees of water recycling, an approach which underpinned the environmental impact assessment (EIA).

    Moreover, in developing Sakatti, Anglo intends building on what it has learnt from its development of the Quellaveco copper mine in Peru as well as what it is learning at its current Woodsmith crop nutrients project in the UK – particularly in terms of minimal surface footprint and using technology and innovation to deliver even better sustainability outcomes.

    In the words of Anglo Crop Nutrients CEO Tom McCulley, that means being “out of sight, safe, reliable, and catering to our customers and society’s needs”.

    “I’ve just come back from Sakatti. It’s in a remote part of the world. It’s designed as the next generation of Future Smart mining… contributing to a sustainable supply of critical minerals to support the energy transition in Finland and the EU,” Anglo projects and development director Alison Atkinson told this week’s sustainability performance update, covered by Mining Weekly.

    “I’m pleased to say that the relevant authorities in Finland have approved the EIA. This is a fantastic achievement and a major milestone for the project, reflecting the true collaboration of all involved.

    “We will continue to drill over the season to refine the modern approach we must and will take in developing this mine,” said Atkinson.

    “We will take our time on this early-stage development. Detailed study, not only of the mine itself, but in its implementation and operations will be critical to delivery. After all, it’s the upfront detailed development that sets the foundation of this asset for decades to come.

    “We will also continue to build the project delivery capabilities as the rigour and discipline in executing a high confidence plan well is as fundamental as the support of the stakeholders and neighbours, in addition to those skilled partners we will work with, to construct and implement our plans.

    “Great projects are done brilliantly when that is in place alongside mature design and robust plan.

    “We’re replicating, continually learning, and approving our approach as we go and putting it into practice at scale across the other parts of the portfolio.

    “We believe this is a competitive advantage for us and a fundamental part of our journey to sustainable mining. Delivering on our ambition is crucial as we have to produce the metals and minerals needed for the energy transition and the ongoing economic development in a responsible way, because that is the only way,” Atkinson emphasised.

  • Russia: Europe imports €13 billion of ‘critical’ metals in sanctions blindspot

    Russia: Europe imports €13 billion of ‘critical’ metals in sanctions blindspot

    Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the 27 EU countries have adopted 11 sanction packages, targeting raw materials including oil, coal, steel and timber. But minerals that the EU considers as “critical” raw materials – 34 in total – still flow freely from Russia to Europe in vast quantities, providing crucial funds to state enterprises and oligarch-owned businesses.
    While some of its western allies have targeted Russia’s mining sector – the UK recently banned Russian copper, aluminium and nickel – the EU has continued its imports. Airbus and other European companies are still buying titanium, nickel, and other commodities from firms close to the Kremlin more than a year after the invasion, Investigate Europe can reveal.

    Between March 2022 and July this year, Europe imported €13.7 billion worth of critical raw materials from Russia, data from Eurostat and the EU’s Joint Research Centre shows. More than €3.7 billion arrived between January and July 2023, including €1.2 billion of nickel. The European Policy Centre estimates that up to 90 per cent of some types of nickel used in Europe comes from Russian suppliers.

    “Why are critical raw materials not banned? Because they are critical, right. Let’s be honest,” the EU’s special envoy for sanctions, David O’Sullivan, pithily said at a September conference.

    The Union is desperate for critical raw materials to achieve its aim of climate neutrality by 2050. These commodities are crucial for electronics, solar panels and electric cars, but also for traditional industries like aerospace and defence. Yet they are all too often in scarce supply, unevenly available across the globe, and in high demand.

    “The war in Ukraine has clearly shown the willingness of Russia to weaponise the supply of key resources. As Europeans, we cannot tolerate that,” says Henrike Hahn, a German Green MEP working on the new Critical Raw Materials Act.

    Aluminium giant Rusal also uses tax havens to funnel minerals to Europe, where it owns the EU’s largest alumina refinery in Ireland and a smelter in Sweden. Its Jersey and Swiss-based trading houses brought at least $2.6 billion of aluminium into the bloc in the 16 months following the invasion of Ukraine. In August 2023, Rusal said Europe still accounted for a third of its revenues. Rusal’s main shareholder is oligarch Oleg Deripaska, sanctioned by the EU and its western partners.

    Anti-corruption NGO Transparency International says it does not make sense that the sector has avoided sanctions given the known links. “They are part of the system and fueling Putin’s war,” says senior policy officer Roland Papp. “So it’s perfectly logical to ban those critical raw materials from Russia, as we did for other sectors and goods.”

    Since the start of the war, other European buyers of Russian metals have included Germany’s GGP Metal Powder ($66 million of copper), French arms-maker Safran ($25 million of titanium) and Greece’s Elval Halcor ($13 million of aluminium). Dutch logistics firm C. Steinweg also handled at least $100 million of various critical metals on behalf of its customers.

    Safran confirmed they are still buying titanium from Vsmpo-Avismo but are working to reduce their Russia purchases. GGP Metal Powder said “there is no real alternative to our supplier from Russia”. C. Steinweg said they follow all rules and sanctions. Elval Halcor, Vsmpo-Avisma, Rusal and Nornickel did not reply to requests for comment.

    At the start of the war, Europe was relying on Russian producers for 30 per cent of its nickel, 35 per cent of its alumina and 15 per cent of its aluminium, according to an internal memo by trade body Eurometaux seen by IE. Russia accounted for 41 per cent of the world’s palladium production, and up to 25 per cent of its vanadium output.

    “Russia occupies a large part of Eurasia – it possesses a big part of the strategic reserves of critical raw materials, on par with China,” says Oleg Savytskyi from Razom We Stand, a Ukrainian NGO. Moreover, “the low density of the population, authoritarian control and practical absence of environmental and human rights protections made investments in the mining of Russia’s resources terribly attractive,” he adds.

    The EU’s crippling dependency should have been curbed earlier, argues Transparency International’s Papp. “We’ve had enough time to react. The annexation of Crimea dates back to 2014, the invasion of Georgia even dates back to 2008 15 years ago! And what have we done? We’ve increased our dependence on Russia. It was an absolute and serious mistake.”

    A Polish diplomat said Poland has pressed the EU to “decouple completely” from Russia in several areas, “but for the sake of unity and efficiency in adopting new sanctions packages we have agreed to postpone particular measures until further discussion.”

    As EU sanctions require unanimity among all member states, divergent national economic interests can often water down packages. When the ninth set of sanctions banned fresh investments in Russia’s mining sector in December 2022, it included an exemption to invest in some mining activities for some critical raw materials. As a result, European companies can still pour cash into Russian mines to extract nickel, titanium and other key metals.

    The European Commission won’t publicly comment on whether or not it has proposed a ban on critical raw materials. One reason could be that  “sanctions are carefully designed to hit their targets while preserving EU interests,“ an EU source told IE.

    Weaning the EU off Russia’s critical and strategic materials will be difficult. Replacing suppliers and forging new international partnerships is an arduous process. Finding a raw material, such as titanium or copper, with a similar quality and price of those from Russia is also a challenge. 

    Imposing tariffs or severing ties too quickly could lead to a global price surge which would harm European buyers while benefiting Moscow. A ban could also prompt India, Iran, and China to intensify purchases, further depleting critical raw material resources for EU industries.

    Tymofiy Mylovanov, president of the Kyiv School of Economics, says a ban would be difficult to implement given global demand challenges and Europe’s reliance on Russia. “Overall, with these specific materials, the monetary value of what Russia would lose from the EU import ban, might be smaller than the effect on the EU production,” says Ukraine’s former trade and economic development minister.

    UN trading data shows that while EU imports of Russian copper, nickel and aluminium imports have declined in the past two years, nickel and aluminium revenues remained stable. Russia’s nickel sales to the EU were worth $1 billion in the first half of 2021 and were $1.1 billion two years later.

    The Union is now trying to reduce its dependency. In March, the European Commission presented its Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA), a new legislation aimed at reducing EU dependency on third countries for critical raw materials.

    “War in Europe is a risk which was not present in the last decades and Russia was known as a reliable supplier,” says German MEP Hildegard Bentele, shadow rapporteur on the CRMA at the European Parliament. “The EU should take immediate action to support European companies to decrease and replace their CRM deliveries from Russia as soon as possible.”

    The High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy is expected to propose a 12th package of sanctions in the coming weeks, which will be then discussed by member states. Brussels hopes the package will renew pressure on the Russian economy and sap its fighting strength on the battlefields of Ukraine. Restrictions on critical raw materials does not seem to be on the table.

  • Miners see value in EU focus on ESG but face red tape hurdles

    Miners see value in EU focus on ESG but face red tape hurdles

    Miners welcome the positive impact of Europe’s focus on environment, social and governance issues (ESG) although the process can be riddled with red tape causing delays in achieving their green ambitions, company executives said.

    Mining is crucial for the supply of critical raw materials including copper and aluminium needed for electric vehicles and renewable technologies such as solar power, but miners are also responsible for up to 7% of greenhouse-gas (GHG) global emissions as most in the sector race to hit net zero by 2050.

    Compliance with ESG standards are increasingly important to keep commitments from institutional investors such as pension funds and insurance firms and for bank loans.

    Christel Bories, CEO at miner Eramet told Reuters documentation proving the company’s ESG credentials for bank loans ran into thousands of pages and that the whole process from start to finish could take up to 18 months.

    “We have no problem supplying the evidence… but it does slow down the project,” Bories said.

    One initiative welcomed by metal producers is the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). From October 1, EU firms have to report the GHG embedded during production of imported volumes of some goods including iron and steel, aluminium and electricity.

    CO2 emission charges will not be imposed until 2026.

    “We like it because it gives us a level playing field with other countries,” said Boliden CEO Mikael Staffas, but he added there were issues.

    “One example is if you import copper, turn it into tube and export it, you should get some credit back. This will be an administrative nightmare,” Staffas said referring to the paperwork that would be required.

    Investors want to see mining companies account for and report their emissions consistently and mine in a socially responsible way.

    “There is a concern that there has been a proliferation (of standards) but let’s not forget a lot of these standards have evolved because things in the sector have not been so good in the past,” said Adam Matthews, chief responsible investment officer for the Church of England Pensions Board, which invests in mining companies.

    Boliden’s Staffas cited zero fatalities due to focus on ESG compared with roughly two per annum at some of the largest miners. “We are 15 years fatality free.”

    EU lawmakers are also pushing for far greater recycling of waste in a new law to ensure the bloc has raw materials such as lithium, nickel and cobalt required for its green transition, and traditional recycling companies and newcomers are investing in capacity to produce battery materials.

    Eramet’s joint venture with water company Suez to be located in France’s Dunkirk region is one example.

    The partners are aiming to build a plant to dismantle electric vehicle batteries, followed by a second unit to separate and refine metals for reuse with a low carbon hydrometallurgy process.

  • Europe starts the clock on greening Soviet-era heating grids

    Europe starts the clock on greening Soviet-era heating grids

    Heating grids are pipelines spanning cities, transporting hot water from power plants into homes. What originated from a Soviet fondness for centrally-planned solutions soon spread to Nordic countries after the 1970s oil crises.

    Today, 12% of the EU’s heat and hot water needs are serviced by district heating, with the percentage going up to 40% in countries like Poland.

    In Eastern EU countries, the water is heated chiefly by burning coal, but countries there will have to switch to greener alternatives in order to meet the EU’s climate neutrality goals.

    Can they meet the challenge?

    “Meeting the requirements in Poland will require, depending on the scenario, expenditures of more than €90 billion to decarbonise the district heating sector,” said Pawel Szczeszek, president of the Polish district heating company PTEZ and vice-president of the country’s electricity industry association PKEE.

    “We are concerned about the excessive burden the transformation costs will impose on ours users,” he told participants at a recent EURACTIV event.

    Especially challenging are cities like Warsaw, where a network of pipes 1,800 kilometres-long supplies 80% of homes with heat. A mere 7% of the energy used in Poland’s heating grids is green.

    The clock is already ticking for Poland and other Eastern EU counties where dirty fuels play a dominant role in district heating.

    “The Energy Efficiency Directive introduces several measures that are addressing the district heating sector and district cooling sector,” explained Madis Laaniste, policy officer for energy at the European Commission’s energy department.

    For instance, it introduces benchmarks district heating systems need to meet in order to be labelled as “efficient” – a crucial requirement to qualify for state support, he added.

    By 2028, heat grids must use a mix of 50% renewables, 50% waste, or 75% cogeneration heat from nearby industry and power stations in order to be labelled “efficient”. The requirements tighten gradually before district heating must be fully renewable or running on industry waste heat from 2050.

    The EU’s renewables directive adds to the pressure, with an indicative target of boosting renewables in district heating by more than 2% per year, while relying on biomass to replace fossil fuels will become more challenging due to tighter sustainability rules.

    “After 2030, there will be no support for the new investments using fossil fuels,” explained Laanise, adding that “after 2035, there will be no support for the systems that use only fossil fuels”.

    Moreover, the price of CO2 certificates under the EU’s emissions trading scheme (ETS) are expected to rise by 2040 – above €400 per tonne according to some projections – putting the Eastern European district heating industry under pressure to transform.

    But Poland’s district heating companies are not amused by the EU’s fuel mix requirements, saying it makes the gradual transformation of the grid more challenging.

    “We see that it’s impossible to divide, for example, the district heating systems in Warsaw, in Gdansk, in Krakow into smaller parts,” explained Dorota Jeziorowska, a director at PTEZ. “Until 2045, combined heat and power units will definitely be needed,” she added, saying state support will be essential to make the transformation happen.

    Radan Kanev, a conservative EU lawmaker from Bulgaria, argued that state support may not be enough

    “The transformation of such huge facilities is a very difficult task,” he told the event. “It is certainly expensive, but it is also a very serious engineering challenge without an obvious solution.”

    How, then, should district heating companies meet the time-pressure from Brussels while grappling with the engineering side of such a large-scale transformation?

    Julien Joubert, who works on transformation planning at Energy Cities, a European association of local authorities, offered a Central European vision to Eastern Europe: Vienna.

    Not unlike Poland and Bulgaria, Vienna burns fossil fuels, waste, and biomass to heat its millions of residents.

    “Now Vienna’s strategy is not to go to biomass but really develop geothermal energy and also recover the waste heat produced by industry,” he said at the Euractiv event. Munich had similar plans, Joubert added.

    From 2026, Vienna’s utility Wien Energie plans to serve 20,000 households with hot water from geothermal, a figure that will rise to 120,000 households by 2030 before the city’s heating grid becomes entirely climate neutral by 2040.

    It’s a future hard to imagine for Warsaw, however, where the utility in charge eyes coal-heated water well into the mid 2040s.

  • Battery-grade lithium production to start in Germany

    Battery-grade lithium production to start in Germany

    It has been deemed the “new gold rush” – a frantic pursuit to catch up with China in the production and refinement of materials essential for various products, ranging from computers to cars. However, one must question whether this endeavor has come too late to salvage Europe’s car industry.

    In the heart of a former East German town, lies the initial outcome of the EU’s ambitious plan to mitigate risks and reduce dependence on imports for the green revolution. In Bitterfeld-Wolfen, located 140km southwest of Berlin, a company listed in Amsterdam is racing against time to complete the construction of an expansive factory that will be the first in Europe to yield battery-grade lithium.

    Across Europe, a competition has ensued to both mine the silver-white soft metal and manufacture its refined form, lithium hydroxide, which serves as the key ingredient in batteries powering electric cars, robot vacuum cleaners, and mobile phones.

    Stefan Scherer, the CEO of AMG Lithium, remarks, “Everybody desires access to lithium. This is why they refer to it as white gold; it has sparked a gold rush. There is hardly a company in the raw materials industry that isn’t exploring lithium. It is simply too enticing.”

    The EU finds itself in a state of urgency, having belatedly realized its excessive reliance on China for several critical raw materials. Brussels has identified 16 such materials as priorities in a new industrial strategy aimed at safeguarding the bloc’s economy and achieving the ambitious goal of reducing net greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% by 2030.

    This dependency also unsettles German and other European car manufacturers, as their domestic markets face threats from high-quality Chinese cars and China’s control over lithium processing.

    The concerns are so significant that Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, has initiated an anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese imports, fearing that major manufacturers like Volkswagen and BMW will struggle to keep up with the supply of electric cars from China.

    However, it is worth noting that lithium, for the most part, does not originate from China. So how has China managed to secure such a dominant position? Has Europe been negligent?

    Lithium supplies are primarily controlled by five countries, with the majority of the mineral being mined in Australia and Chile. Yet, it is China that has taken the raw material and become the primary supplier of refined lithium.

    “They have now become the global hub, granting them economic leverage – or more bluntly, the means for economic coercion,” says an EU source.

    The roots of the EU’s dependence on China can be traced back to the 1980s, following the oil crisis when the Chinese leader at the time, Deng Xiaoping, astutely observed, “The Middle East has oil. We have rare earths.”

    Rare-earth materials were once abundant in the United States, Europe, and Japan. However, investors in those regions withdrew from mining, deeming it a costly and environmentally detrimental industry. This retreat handed China a significant share of the market, allowing it to acquire the world’s stockpile and eventually become the global hub it is today.

    The Russian invasion of Ukraine has brought the lopsided trade relationship into sharper focus.

    “Lithium and rare earths are already replacing gas and oil at the heart of our economy. By 2030, our demand for those rare earth metals will increase fivefold,” warned Von der Leyen in her 2022 state of the union address. “We must avoid falling into the same dependence as with oil and gas.”

    Consequently, the EU has embarked on a journey to accelerate the development of green technologies through the Critical Raw Materials Act, which was swiftly passed earlier this year. Peter Handley, the head of the raw materials unit in the commission, describes its passage as an accomplishment in record time. The act relaxes state aid rules to compete with the US’s Inflation Reduction Act, sets higher targets for extraction within Europe, and promotes product recycling, particularly for items like phones that contain lithium. If all goes according to plan, the act will become a regulation in the EU this month, setting a high level of ambition.

    Before embarking on a trip to Latin America to secure deals for raw material production, Von der Leyen stated that the EU is “97% dependent on China for lithium.”

    Back in Bitterfeld, Scherer surveys the colossal plant that will contribute to reducing this dependency. He highlights the towering 20-meter metal vats for lithium solutions and the drying machines that produce a substance resembling sugar crystals – just some of the processes involved in creating the final refined product, eagerly awaited by clients as the first batches of EU-manufactured lithium.

    AMG Lithium anticipates commencing operations by the end of this year, with orders extending to 2026. The demand for fresh lithium salt in Europe is projected to rise to 500,000 tonnes annually by 2030, and Scherer affirms their plan to produce 100,000 tonnes, sufficient to provide the active charging ingredient for 2.5 million cars“`
    It has been dubbed the “new gold rush” – a frenzied race to catch up with China in the production and refining of essential materials for various products, from computers to cars. However, one must question whether this effort has come too late to salvage Europe’s car industry.

    In the heart of a former East German town lies the initial outcome of the EU’s ambitious plan to mitigate risks and reduce reliance on imports for the green revolution. In Bitterfeld-Wolfen, located 140km southwest of Berlin, a company listed in Amsterdam is racing against time to complete the construction of a vast factory that will be Europe’s first to produce battery-grade lithium.

    Across Europe, a competition has emerged to both mine the silver-white soft metal and manufacture its refined form, lithium hydroxide, which is a crucial component in batteries powering electric cars, robot vacuum cleaners, and mobile phones.

    Stefan Scherer, the CEO of AMG Lithium, notes, “Everyone wants access to lithium. That’s why they call it white gold; it has sparked a gold rush. There’s hardly a company in the raw materials industry that isn’t exploring lithium. It’s simply too alluring.”

    The EU finds itself in a state of urgency, having belatedly realized its excessive dependence on China for several critical raw materials. Brussels has identified 16 such materials as priorities in a new industrial strategy aimed at safeguarding the bloc’s economy and achieving the ambitious goal of reducing net greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% by 2030.

    This dependence also unsettles German and other European car manufacturers, as their domestic markets face threats from high-quality Chinese cars and China’s control over lithium processing.

    The concerns are significant enough that Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, has launched an anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese imports, fearing that major manufacturers like Volkswagen and BMW will struggle to keep up with the supply of electric cars from China.

    However, it is worth noting that lithium, for the most part, does not originate from China. So how has China managed to secure such a dominant position? Has Europe been negligent?

    Lithium supplies are primarily controlled by five countries, with the majority of the mineral being mined in Australia and Chile. Yet, it is China that has taken the raw material and become the primary supplier of refined lithium.

    “They have now become the global hub, giving them economic leverage – or more bluntly, the means for economic coercion,” says an EU source.

    The roots of the EU’s dependence on China can be traced back to the 1980s, following the oil crisis when the Chinese leader at the time, Deng Xiaoping, shrewdly observed, “The Middle East has oil. We have rare earths.”

    Rare-earth materials were once abundant in the United States, Europe, and Japan. However, investors in those regions withdrew from mining, deeming it a costly and environmentally detrimental industry. This retreat handed China a significant share of the market, allowing it to acquire the world’s stockpile and eventually become the global hub it is today.

    The Russian invasion of Ukraine has brought the lopsided trade relationship into sharper focus.

    “Lithium and rare earths are already replacing gas and oil at the heart of our economy. By 2030, our demand for those rare earth metals will increase fivefold,” warned Von der Leyen in her 2022 state of the union address. “We must avoid falling into the same dependence as with oil and gas.”

    Consequently, the EU has embarked on a journey to accelerate the development of green technologies through the Critical Raw Materials Act, which was swiftly passed earlier this year. Peter Handley, the head of the raw materials unit in the commission, describes its passage as an accomplishment in record time. The act relaxes state aid rules to compete with the US’s Inflation Reduction Act, sets higher targets for extraction within Europe, and promotes product recycling, particularly for items like phones that contain lithium. If all goes according to plan, the act will become a regulation in the EU this month, setting a high level of ambition.

    Before embarking on a trip to Latin America to secure deals for raw material production, Von der Leyen stated that the EU is “97% dependent on China for lithium.”

    Back in Bitterfeld, Scherer surveys the colossal plant that will contribute to reducing this dependence. He highlights the towering 20-meter metal vats for lithium solutions Critical Raw Materialsand the drying machines that produce a substance resembling sugar crystals – just some of the processes involved in creating the final refined product, eagerly awaited by clients as the first batches of EU-manufactured lithium.

    AMG Lithium anticipates commencing operations by the end of this year, with orders extending to 2026. The demand for fresh lithium salt in Europe is projected to rise to 500,000 tonnes annually by 2030, and Scherer affirms their plan to produce 100,000 tonnes, sufficient to provide the active charging ingredient for 2.5 million cars.

  • Investors glimpse opportunity in Europe’s unloved mining shares

    Investors glimpse opportunity in Europe’s unloved mining shares

    The STOXX Europe 600 mining index has fallen 15% this year, making it the worst performing sector in the region by some margin, with second-placed real estate down 4.5% and the top-performing retail index up 27%. The metals and mining sector is typically used as a proxy for equity investors in Europe to gain exposure to China, given it is the world’s largest commodities consumer, and it has sunk along with China’s growth expectations.

    The world’s second-largest economy has been struggling after a brief post-Covid surge, dragged down by huge debt due to decades of infrastructure investment and a property downturn. Analysts forecast the economy will grow by just 5% this year, the slowest rate, outside of Covid years, since 1990.

    But Beijing in recent weeks has taken targeted steps towards supporting key pockets of its economy, lifting the mining sector off its 31-month lows. In the last month, the mining index has risen nearly 10% compared with a gain of just 2.5% for the wider STOXX 600.

    “China is building a wall of stimulus, but they’re doing it brick by brick,” said Nathan Sweeney, chief investment officer of multi-asset at Marlborough Investment Management.

    “At some point people will realize they have built the wall, but it just hasn’t come all at once.”

    In the last three months, China has relaxed rules around home purchases and borrowing, and cut key interest rates. There are also new tax relief measures for small businesses and private investment in some infrastructure sectors, for example.

    Sweeney says this wide range of measures could be a catalyst for an upturn in the metals and mining sector.

    The STOXX basic resources index trades at over a 20% discount to the STOXX 600. Miners trade at a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8, compared to 12.3 for the market, according to LSEG Datastream.

    Shares in some of the industry heavyweights have taken a battering this year. Glencore and Boliden have dropped by more than 20%, while Anglo American has lost 30%. The pan-European STOXX 600 benchmark meanwhile, is up 7.5%.

    Copper and iron ore have fared better. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange is flat for the year at $8,380 a tonne, while front-month Singapore iron ore futures are up nearly 9%.

    Considering China’s heft in the commodities world – Morningstar estimates it accounts for over 50% of refined copper demand and about 70% of the seaborne iron ore trade – some of that resilience should eventually seep into mining stocks, analysts said.

    “Obviously, the 800-pound gorilla from a primary metal demand perspective is China,” Peter Mallin-Jones, mining analyst at UK investment bank Peel Hunt, said.

    “I’m quite positive because I can see, certainly for the base metals, fairly significant demand drivers into markets that feel relatively tight,” he said.

    Sector is key to going electric

    Specifically, Mallin-Jones points to the global energy transition, as economies begin to decarbonize, which could bring a huge increase in demand from fast-growing nations such as India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Nigeria.

    Copper is the backbone of the electric and electronic industries and is essential in upgrading power grids, building solar farms, wind turbines and electric vehicles.

    The United States and China are expected to add record amounts of solar production capacity this year, with a projected extra 32 gigawatts and between 95 and 120 gigawatts, respectively.

    “That’s an enormous number and is a huge support for demand for copper and to an extent aluminium,” UBS metals and mining analyst Daniel Major said.

    Major does not believe stimulus in China will lead to the kind of explosion in commodities demand seen after 2008, when the country bounced back from the global financial crisis.

    We see measures limiting downside and creating stabilisation in aggregate commodities demand but not driving a very strong rebound,” he said, adding that he expects the demand outlook for iron ore to deteriorate alongside a slower global economy while the likes of copper and aluminium will likely benefit from the renewables boom.

    Accordingly, UBS has ‘sell’ ratings on diversified miners Rio Tinto and BHP Group and Major prefers companies with more direct exposure to copper.

    Antofagasta, Europe’s largest pure-play copper miner by market cap, Poland’s KGHM and copper recycler Aurubis are all down less than 12% this year, and have all relatively outperformed diversified miners Glencore, Rio Tinto and Anglo American, which have fallen between 14%-35%.

    “The reality is the sector now looks attractive and a lot of bad news is in the price,” Marlborough Investment Management’s Sweeney said.

  • Norway should call off deep sea mining plans, key ally says

    Norway should call off deep sea mining plans, key ally says

    Norway’s minority government should withdraw its proposal to open a vast Arctic offshore area to deep sea mining and call at least a ten-year moratorium on the activity, its key backer in parliament, said.

    Norway could become the first nation to make deep sea mining happen on a commercial scale if the country’s parliament approves a plan to open ocean an area larger than the United Kingdom to the new industry. The mining could provide a source for such metals as copper and rare earth elements for the transition away from fossil fuels.