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US, EU and Japan Prepare Critical Minerals Trade Pact to Counter China

The US, EU and Japan are preparing a critical minerals trade framework featuring price floors and coordinated policies to reduce dependence on Chinese supply chains.

The United States, Japan and the European Union are preparing to announce plans for a new trade framework aimed at strengthening supply chains for critical minerals and reducing dependence on China, according to people familiar with the discussions.

The initiative is expected to lay the groundwork for a broader plurilateral trade agreement covering key minerals used in electric vehicles, clean energy technologies and advanced manufacturing. Negotiations are being led by the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) in coordination with officials in Brussels and Tokyo.

Officials involved in the talks say the framework may include coordinated trade policies such as price floors, tariffs and other market mechanisms designed to counter price distortions linked to Chinese supply. A price floor would establish a minimum market price for selected minerals, encouraging investment in mining and processing projects while preventing cheaper imports from undercutting producers participating in the agreement.

The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) is reportedly assisting US trade officials in developing pricing models for the mechanism.

Global efforts to diversify critical mineral supply chains intensified after China introduced export controls on several rare earth elements and strategic minerals last year. The restrictions were widely seen as a response to sweeping tariffs imposed by the United States on imported goods.

Although supply pressures have eased since their peak last year, manufacturers in Europe, the United States and Japan continue to report shortages and delays in receiving critical mineral shipments from Chinese suppliers.

USTR is expected to begin formal negotiations with the European Union and Japan in April, shortly after the close of a public consultation period for industry stakeholders on March 19.

The announcement may coincide with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s visit to the White House scheduled for March 19. European officials are also coordinating closely with Washington and Tokyo on the initiative, although the timing of Brussels’ announcement has not yet been finalized.

The concept is also expected to feature prominently at the upcoming Group of Seven summit.

Earlier this year, the United States signed a similar action plan with Mexico aimed at coordinating policies on critical mineral supply chains. The agreement includes provisions to examine border-adjusted price floors for mineral imports and to explore joint trade policies supporting secure supply.

Officials say the proposed framework between the US, EU and Japan will likely mirror many elements of the US–Mexico agreement. Potential areas of cooperation include investment screening, research and development in mineral processing technologies, coordinated stockpiling strategies and support for downstream supply chains.

While the exact list of minerals covered has not yet been finalized, officials are considering starting with a limited group of strategic materials before expanding the agreement to include a broader range of critical minerals.

The initiative reflects growing concern among Western economies about supply concentration in global mineral markets. China currently dominates the processing and refining of many critical materials, including rare earth elements, graphite and several battery metals.

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